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Sunday, January 11, 2015

2015 Fantasy Nascar Driver Preview: Greg Biffle

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2015 Greg Biffle Profile

One of the most disappointing individuals in 2014 was the Biff. The 46 years old driver didn't reach victory nor really contend much at all. Only two seasons after dominating the regular season in 2012. The regression of RFR was a big reason for the poor results. Not all can pinned on RFR though. Biff needs to become a leader in 2015. One of the biggest questions heading into 2015 season been can RFR rebound this season? That's a difficult question to answer. This solely depends on your personal opinion and beliefs. I honestly do. I truly believe Biff and co will be better in 2015.

Intermediate tracks will be the Biff strength. RFR always brings fast cars to these venues. Expect that to continue in 2015. Texas can be considered his top high-speed Intermediate track. Due to how consistent he been. Over the past 5 races , Biff have an 7.6 average finish. Last time he finished outside top 15? April 2008.

Kansas is another popular venue for Biff. Since Fall 2012 , Biff just haven't been right. In that span , he have a average finish of 18.0 and highest individual driver rating of 83.3 in those six races. From fall 2004 until spring 2012 (10 races) , Biff had a 4.8 average finish. What changed? Repave between the fall and spring 2012 races. Kansas like a new track. To Biff it is.

Dover , Charlotte , Miami and Las Vegas are other popular tracks. Las Vegas been a somewhat iffy track. Since 2010 have an 16.0 average finish with 3 of those races resulting in 15th or worse. From to 2010- 2012 (3 races) , he had 110.2 driver rating and 13.6 average finish. Past two seasons he been terrible. With 19.5 average finish and 64.5 driver rating. No consequences that RFR went south start of 2013 when Kenseth left and their performance did too.

Dover was once a great track for Biffle. From 2005 to 2010 , he had 9 finishes of 8th or better. Including 2 wins. Since (8 races)? 1 Top 10 and that was a 9th in 2013. Even though most of his results been in the teens. Charlotte and Homestead been decent tracks for Biff. But not that great either. Been up and down his entire career at both track. Kinda feel like Biff get more credit then he deserves. The team he drives for could have a big reason for that. Stat wise (career) , Charlotte and Homestead ranked as 16th/17th best tracks. Similar rankings in past 2 seasons among average finish.

Michigan is a great larger track for Biff. Over past 6 races , Biff have an 7.5 average finish. Including two wins. In 32 career races ,he have an 11.5 average finish. That's pretty darn good. At ACS , he been good times over the years. 2 of the past 3 races have resulted in top 10s.

Flats tracks been pretty good for Biff in his career. In 2014 , he was pretty darn consistent. Posted a lot of teen results. But was reliable. Indy is his best track (career pov). In 12 career starts , Biff have 13.3 average finish. Finish in the top 8 from 2008 to 2012. Finished 24 and 13 past two seasons. Last season 13th was definitely a improvement from 2013. In 2013 , he finished a lap off the pace.

Pocono been a great track past few seasons. Biff turned a corner recently here. 3 Of the past 4 races have resulted in 10th or better. Biff won in 2010. I believe that was the turning point. Most recently ( since June 2013) , I believe Biff have found something to more consistent at Pocono.

Since winning in July 2008 , Biff have only 4 Top 10s in past 12 starts at New Hampshire. Haven't been a stellar track. But he consistently finishing in the teens. Becoming more of a predictable option of late at NHMS. At Phoenix he been pretty average. Knocked off a few top 10s , but have trended more towarded an teen-type fantasy option. Expect low-end top 10 finish at best.

At plate tracks , I almost always try to use Greg Biffle. More times then not it ends in a good points day. The RFR cars seems to always be fast. Almost like they have a slight advantage over majority of the field. They have found a lot of success here. No reason to think it will change in 2015. Even if RFR  have a down year , I would highly consider the Biff.

Short tracks remains to be a weakness for the Biff. Even though I believe he is greatly underrated. Martinsville probably his worst track career wise. But have found something positive lately. 3 Of the past 5 races have resulted in 9th or 10th. His previous two results (2014) , he have finishes of 18 and 13 though. Still before 2013 , he had 2 Top 10 at Martinsville.

Bristol been a very good track. In 24 career races , Biff have an 11.9 average finish. Past 4 races all have been 12th or better. Which tells me he been a reliable fantasy option. Biff underrated for the most part.

Richmond is probably his second best short track. Over his career , he have 17.0 average finish. Over past 6 races had few good races. Including 18.1 average finish. Minus his lone back finish in 2013 , Biff had an 14.6 average finish. Typically that in his range of usually finishes at short tracks. From September 2004 to September 2006 (5 races) , Biff have 5 straight races with finishes of 8th or better.

At road courses , most people don't think of Greg as a good option. But past few years he have turned a corner. After only having 2 Top 10 from 2003 to 2011 at Watkins Glenn. Biff have scored 2 Top 10s in past 3 seasons. Including results of 6th and 8th. At Sonoma , Biff been great. 6 Of 12 career races have resulted in 10th or better. 4 of them have came in previous 5 starts. He doesn't get enough credit at either place.

Weather or not Biff returns to championship form depends on RFR improvements. I believe he will be better then 2014. Unfortunately at 46, you have to wonder how much is left in the tank. Biff best days will come Intermediate track , flats , plates tracks and road courses. His main weakness may come at short track. Even though I think he underrated most of the time at them. Biff have a lot to prove and many more to prove wrong. Can he did it? Time will tell.

Twitter - @MattAleza