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Alimrola have more then a few years under his belt at NSCS level , but yet he haven't had that breakout season with RPM. Last season win at Daytona stands out as his only victory in his young career. Almirola have proven to be a threat to run well when thrust into the right situation.
Almirola best days will come on short tracks and Intermediate racetracks. Last season he showed promise at multiple venues.Expect inconsistent results on both type of tracks. But some of his best finishes will likely come on the shorts and intermediate racetracks as well.
At short tracks , expect inconsistent results. He will likely have a car capable of running in the teens. Martinsville or Richmond could be considered one of his best tracks. Last season he was very good at them. Clipped the top 10 in both races. In 2012 and 2013 , he even showed promise. Bristol remains iffy from a fantasy vantage point. He haven't had a standout run yet. But he haven't been anything worst then top 25 option either. Of the 6 races on shorts , expect finishes in the upper teens or somewhere in that area.
Intermediate racetracks it harder to pinpoint where to use him. Kansas stands out. In last 4 races at Kansas , Aric have 3 Top 10s. Homestead makes a strong case as his second best Intermediate racetracks. At Homestead he's have 4 Top 20s in 5 starts. Expect results from boarder-line top 15 to low twenties on most weeks.
Larger Intermediate tracks have been a troublesome spot for Aric. Auto Club Speedway stands out as his worst track. In 7 career races , he have an 31.5 average finish. Including 3 DNFs. Michigan is a much better track. In 6 career races , he have an 20.5 average finish. 5 of his 6 races resulted in 20th or better. Unfortunately his best result is 17th.
On flats , New Hampshire and Phoenix will likely be the best places to use Aric. In 14 races at those venes , 10 of those he finished those inside the top 20. In the previous 10 races , he have finish 8 of them inside the top 20.
At the larger tracks , it been a real struggle so far for Aric. Indy probably his best larger flat. In 3 career races , he have an 19.0 average finish with best finish of 17th and worse of 21th. He haven't gave us any reason to doubt him at Indy. Unfortunately he haven't gave us any reason to trust him either. Pocono been his worst flat by far. In 6 career starts , Aric have an 24.0 average finish. Best finish of 18th.
Road Courses , successful and Aric Alimorola mix well as me and my ex-wife. In 8 career races on road courses , Aric have an 25.9 average finish and 3 Top 20s. Best result of 18th. Tough to defend a guy who haven't even finish inside the top 15 at either venue. When it comes to fantasy value , he holds little to none at Sonoma and Watkins. Least until he improves his road courses skills.
Restrictor Plate Tracks will likely remains a iffy area for Aric. Despite winning at Daytona , Aric have only have 6 finishes better then 20th. Only one other top 10. In fact his win at Daytona is his only top 20 there. Talladega he finish respectable most of the time there. Probably better options out there.
Aric will have his moments in the sun. I think there about 6-7 races where he will have relevancy value. But I wouldn't try to force anything either. Aric ceiling most weekends be top 15. Usually expect a finish in the mid to upper teens. Low twenties on his worst days. I honestly would try to use him at the short flats of New Hampshire and Phoenix if necessary. I kinda feel like those are one of his better tracks. Same with Richmond and Kansas. Kansas he probably found the most successful in this point of his career.
Twitter - @MattAleza