Thursday, December 04, 2014

Fantasy Football Starts/Sits (WK14)

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***Scoring format: CBS Sports

Quarterbacks -

Starts:

Tony Romo- Yes I said start Romo in week 13 (3 total points outcome), but I learned over the years Romo isn't someone who will consistency disappoint. Romo may have a poor game here & there , but he's someone you can count on more often then not. The Bears have been nightmarish against the pass. As Chicago have greatly struggled on defense since the firing on Lovie Smith after 2012 season. The Bears have allowed the 2nd most fantasy points per game (24.5) vs Quarterbacks. Including 2.2 Touchdowns and 285.5 yards per game.

Russell Wilson- To me Russell is a solid QB. Usually solid Quarterbacks like Wilson can take advantage of good matchups. Like the one in week 13 vs Philly. The Eagles have allowed the 4th most fantasy points per game (22.8) vs Quarterbacks. They also have allowed 284.8 yards (4th-most) , 2.0 Touchdowns (T-4Th most) and 17 rushing yards (6th most) per game to Quarterbacks.

Ryan Tannehill- Tannehill have been quietly having an awesome season! Yet very few have actually noticed. Well Mr. Tannehill , I salute you. In all seriousness , RT have a nice matchup against Baltimore. The Ravens are significantly better against the run then the pass. They are one of the best in the leagues at stuffing runners. But they are ranked 6th against the pass in 2014 in fantasy points per game (22.1) vs QBs. They also have allowed the most passing yards this season with 3518 or 293 yards per game.

Sits:

Mark Sanchez - Yes we all love seeing  Mark Sanchez light up the Boys defense in week 13. But party over , the Seahawks in town. They are literally like the official party crashers of the NFL. Never should start a Quarterback vs this defensive unit. Almost certain to end ugly. As the Seahawks have allowed the fewest fantasy points per game (14.5) vs Quarterbacks. They are allowing like 207 yards & roughly 1 TD per game.

Joe Flacco- Oh Flacco..Flacco! Flacco Owners by now know his overall numbers usually are better at home then on the road. In week 14 , JF on the road against the tough & underrated  Dolphins pass defense. The Dolphins have allowed the 3rd fewest fantasy points per game (15.8) vs Quarterbacks. Sit him!

Big Ben- Big Ben have cooled off in recent weeks since his back-to-back 6 Touchdowns. Anyhow in week 14 , the Steelers will face divisional foe Cincy. I expect a low scoring affair among the AFC North power house forces. Also Cincy have allowed the 2nd fewest fantasy points per game (15.6) vs Quarterbacks. There more suitable options to go with in week 14. Sit him!

Running Backs -

Starts:

Frank Gore- There probably more consistent options then Gore , but cannot say anyone have a more favorable matchup in week 14. The Raiders are fantasy gold in pretty every defensive category. They have allowed the most fantasy points per game (24.1) vs running backs. I don't think I could will myself to sit Gore. The matchup is WAY to good.

Eddie Lacy- Remember when everyone was saying Lacy was the biggest fantasy bust of 2014 in the first 5 games? How idiotic that seems now. Of course like 2013 , Lacy have became one of the top league's rushers. The Falcons have allowed the 3rd most fantasy points per game (22.7) vs running backs. Lacy have effectively became an extra receiver for Aaron Rodgers in certain situations. Which is addition value to Lacy. Value which isn't really needed. In simpler terms , an added bonus.

Rashad Jennings- If Jennings plays in week 14, he should be started vs an terrible Tennessee defense. Who been slaughtered in recent weeks. Jennings isn't a star , but he's can get the job done. The Titans have allowed the 2nd most fantasy points per game (23.4) vs running backs. Jennings get added value with catching the ball out of the backfield. Jennings have 26 catches in 8 games this season. Titans have allowed 283 yards & 3 TDs to running backs though the air.

Sits:

Lamar Miller- Miller been a pretty average running backs in recent weeks. With not reaching 100 yards or any Touchdowns in his past 5 games. Miller also have had a significant tough schedule lately as well. The Ravens have allowed the fewest fantasy points per game (12.3) vs running backs. I expect roughly 16 carries for 80 yards from Miller in a close competitive game.

Doug Martin- DMart is alive! As Martin had his best game of 2014 for 58 yards & 1 TD in week 13. Which probably makes him look worse then he already have been. Still wouldn't trust him to deliver a reliable score in week 14 vs Lions who have been stout vs the run. Lions have allowed the 7th fewest fantasy points per game (14.8) vs running backs. There more reliable options out there. Sit him!

Alfred Morris- Not saying Morris cannot be a good option in week 14 , but its seems unlikely. Two big reasons: A) Washington is a mess. B) The Rams are pretty good at this defense thing. This unit was terrible to start the year. But over recent weeks , they are looking like the team we all thought they could be. Morris screwed up a good matchup vs Indy in week 13. Hard to trust him vs an unfavorable situation. The Rams have allowed the 9th most fantasy points per game (15.2) vs running backs.

Wide Receivers-

Starts:

Kelvin Benjamin- Benjamin is every bit of his hype and then some. This guy is the real deal! I been impressive by him. His rookie season success should continue against the New Orleans Saints! The Saints have allowed the 4th most fantasy points per game (26.1) vs Wide Outs. And Kelvin is like the only fantasy relevant option on Carolina.

Golden Tate- Tate is having a career season with Detroit. And nothing Tampa Bay does likely changes that. The Bucs been very fantasy friendly in 2014 to Wide Outs. As they have allowed the 5th most fantasy points per game (25.4) vs Wide Outs. Tate ranked 12 among all Wide Outs with 11.2 fantasy points per game. He been good all season long. Expect it to continue vs Tampa.

Davante Adams- Davante Who? Davante Adams another rookie. Adams in my opinion is the most underrated player at his position in this rookie class. Adams in a deep WR core in Green Bay. Compared to other rookie wideouts! I potentially think Adams could  have a great game vs Falcons. Atlanta attention will be on Nelson and Cobb mainly. The Falcons have allowed the 8th most fantasy points per game (25.2) vs wideouts.

Sits:

Martavis Bryant- This day and age , trends most of the time means absolutely nothing. With that being said , most trends aren't consistent enough to be relevant. Bryant is starting to have a trend of his own develop. In back-to-back games , he failed to have 50 yards. 2014 stats suggests it will continue vs Cincinnati. The Bengals have allowed the 2nd fewest points per game (16.3) vs WideOuts.

Vincent Jackson- Since arriving to Tampa , VJax big issue been consistency. Not his fault. He usually good for 50-60 yards , but his upside is very limited due to lack of touchdowns. The "Number 2" Receiver  Mike Evans have scored more times this year then VJax have in the past two seasons. Do I really have say anymore?

James Jones - Being the 3rd Wide out in the big pound wasn't good enough for James Jones! Now he's in a terrible offense with very little upside. Yet surprising over 50% of ESPN still own him. Just not enough consistency for Jones to be highly relevant. The 49ers have allowed the 8th fewest fantasy points per game (20.8) vs Wide Outs.

Tight Ends -

Starts:

Jason Witten- Witten been solid in recent weeks. Its should continue vs the Bears who have been terrible against tight ends. The Bears have allowed the most fantasy points per game (11.2) vs Tight Ends. Start him and enjoy the points.

Kyle Rudolph- The talented tight end out of Notre Dame only will make his 6th start of 2014 due to injuries. When he played , he have been effective. Averaging 10 yards a catch. The Jets love giving out fantasy points to Tight Ends. The Jets have allowed the 2nd most fantasy points per game (11.0) vs Tight Ends.

Sits:

Larry Donnell- Its playoff time in fantasy football , Donnell just isn't gonna cut it. Especially after his 40 yards performance vs Jacksonville. Larry have a nice matchup , but not the upside in NY offense. Donnell is boom or bust.

Vernon Davis- VDavis have 210 yards on the season. Never thought I would see the season where that would happen. Nevertheless he is averaging 3.3 fantasy points per game. Not gonna cut it in fantasy football during the playoffs. Also has a middle of the road matchup.

My piece of advice for underdogs in their playoffs matchup this week would be this: Throw the kitchen sink at your lineup. You're the underdog already. Why not try to pull off a hail mary? If I knew I was going lose. Then I would want to go in blazing glory. You would be shocked on how many times it has worked.

For a better overview of who to start , check out Wiliam Frang Rankings. Or ask us on Twitter who you should start.

**All stats from FFToday

Links to previous Starts/Sits -

Starts/Sit - Week 1

Start/Sits - Week 2

Starts/Sits - Week 3

Starts/Sits - Week 4

Starts/Sits - Week 5

Starts/Sits - Week 6

Starts/Sits - Week 7

Starts/Sits - Week 8

Starts/Sits- Week 9

Starts/Sits- Week 10

Starts/Sits - Week 11

Starts/Sits - Week 12

Starts/Sits - Week 13

Twitter - Matt Aleza