Wednesday, November 19, 2014

Fantasy Football Starts/Sits (WK12)

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***Scoring Format: CBS Sports

Starts -

Quarterbacks:

Colin Kaepernick- CK7 will always have the potential to put up double digital fantasy points against favorable matchups. Washington have allowed the 4th most fantasy points per game (23.5). While allowing 20 Passing TDs and only forcing 3 Interceptions.

Jay Cutler - I don't believe that Chicago gonna run away with this game. I also believe this game with come down to which QB make less mistakes. Nevertheless the matchup suggests , Cutler is useable option in week 12. The Bucs have allowed the 6th most fantasy points per game (21.9). Of course Cutler is known to screw us fantasy folks over on a weekly basis. So if you don't have anyone better to use , then roll the dice.

Josh McCown- Over the past 2 weeks , the Bucs been hot and the passing game is the big reason for it. The Bears have looked like schoolgirls trying to defend the pass in 2014. I would like to see them try to cover those oversized Wide Outs of the Bucs. JC should have a good day through the air. As the Bears have allowed the 2nd most fantasy points per game to QBs (25.3).

Running Backs:

Denard Robinson- Robinson have quickly turned into one of the most reliable running backs. Literally overnight, and hilarious part was barely anyone noticed it initially. He is a legit RB2 with RB1 upside vs the Colts. Indianapolis have allowed the 5th most fantasy points per game (22.6). The Colts on average have allowed 95 yards & 1 TD per game.

Eddie Lacy - After a slow start , Eddie Lacy have gone all beast mode. And ironically so have the Green Bay Packers offense. Trust me I don't think my Vikings will change that. The Vikings have allowed the 7th most fantasy points per game (21.4). On average , the Vikings have allowed 100 yards & just under 1 TD per game to running backs on the ground. While allowing 45.6 yards per game through the air.

Justin Forsett- Forsett is like second choice girl you took to prom. I mean who expected Forsett to be an top 10 back after 11 games? Raise your hands. Like I thought. The Saints haven't been overall effective against the run. As they have allowed the 12th most fantasy points per game (20.4) to running backs. Start him.

Wide Receivers:

Mike Evans- Evans is the hottest Wide Out in the NFL over the past three games. While scoring 2 TDs since in that span (5 in total) , and he's just a rookie. The Bears have allowed the 17th most fantasy points per game (22.2) , not exactly impressive. But Evans is hot and I love riding those hot Wide Outs.

Alshon Jeffery - I don't believe Jeffery an must start , but I do believe he an legit WR2 in the Chicago offense. The Bucs have allowed the 3rd most fantasy points per game (27.7) against Wide Outs. Jeffery haven't lived up to his draft status clearly , but I still believe he could very useful in upcoming weeks. Starting this week.

Josh Gordon- Gordon returns to the field in week 12 against the Atlanta. Look I am gonna keep it simple, you stashed him weeks ago. No way in hell you gonna turn on him now. Especially considering how little competition he's have in Cleveland at WR. The Falcons have allowed the 8th most fantasy points per game (25.3) against Wide Outs.

Tight Ends:

Larry Donnell- Donnell scored his first touchdown since well in awhile last week against San Fran in week 11. The Cowboys have allowed the 4th most fantasy points per game (10.9) against Tight Ends. I like him as a serviceable High TE2/ Low TE1 in most formats.

Jason Witten- Jason haven't lived up to his draft status , but when presented with a favorable matchup he have delivered. The Giants have allowed the 8th most fantasy points per game (9.5) against Tight Ends.

Sits -

Quarterbacks:

Andy Dalton- Dalton bounced back nicely in week 11 after nightmarish week 10. I still don't trust him , unless the matchup is favorable. The Texans been somewhat hot and cold against Quarterbacks in 2014. The Texans have allowed the 15th most fantasy points per game (20.4) against QBs. His inconsistency is the concern I have with Dalton. Sit him.

Russell Wilson- Over the last few weeks , The Seahawks have gone back to an heavy run offense. Against Cardinals I expect it to continue. Mainly because its the  Seahawks identity. The Arizona have allowed the 7th fewest fantasy points per game (17.1) against QBs. Not to mention , Russell completion % is significantly down to the league average. Also the Cardinals have allowed fewer Touchdowns then Interceptions. Sit him.

Robert Griffin III- I think RGIII an super talented dude , but not in the current Washington offense. The 2012 offensive system fitted him to a tee. That's the big different between now and then. The Titans have allowed the 5th fewest fantasy points per game (17.1) to QBs.

Running Backs:

Jonas Gray- Gray had a monster performance against indy in week 11. But this is the New England backfield though. Anything can happen. Add on the Lions have allowed the 8th fewest fantasy points per game (14.4) to running backs. He isn't elite , therefore isn't matchup proof. Sit him.

Chris Ivory/Chris Johnson- In my opinion neither back bring great upside. Normally I don't like starting RBs which faces an unfavorable matchup..With two RBs splitting carries makes it a no brainer. The Bills have allowed the 6th fewest fantasy points per game (13.9) to running backs.

Lamar Miller- Miller is a okay runner when given a favorable matchup. Usually deliver top 20 results at his position. Unfortunately he faces the Broncos who have allowed the 10th fewest fantasy per game (14.7). I could be wrong , but I don't expect a lot from him. At best 80 yards rushing. Similar to week 11 outcome.

Wide Receivers:

Larry Fitzgerald- I was so close to jumping back on the Fitzgerald bandwagon and at the final minute of the final hour Carson Palmer got injuried. Now there is an average QB with above average supporting cast. Yeah lets see how that work out. In the meantime , Fitz is dealing with a injury. Yeah and he facing the Seahawks who have allowed the fewest fantasy points per game (16.2) to Wide Outs. Sit him.

Wes Welker- Welker been a extremely disappointing from a season stand point. Even with an banged up offense , I don't trust him. The Dolphins have allowed the 6th fewest fantasy points per game (18.7) to Wide Outs. There better choices out there to use. Sit him.

Dwayne Bowe- Alex Smith and the KC offense isn't about beating you with large yardage to Wide Outs. It about dumping it off to Charles. Exactly what have happened. To no surprise , DBowe have been pretty inconsistent all season long. Also worth mentioning non-studs usually don't fair well on TNF. Oakland have allowed the 8th fewest fantasy points per game (20.4) to Wide Outs. Sit him.

Tight Ends:

Jordan Cameron- I love Cameron , great Tight End. May be something special one day. But he isn't an TE1 startable option with just coming off an injury. Also the return of Josh Gordon makes his value decrease. The Falcons have allowed the 6th fewest fantasy points per game (5.5) to Tight Ends. Yeah there better options out there at a better value.

Jermaine Gresham- Gresham scored twice in week 11. But he hardly an legit option. Cincy isn't big on throwing to Tight ends in their current offensive system or throwing the ball much at all. To make matters worst , Houston have allowed the 8th fewest fantasy points per game (5.7) to Tight Ends. Sit him.

**All stats from FFToday

Links to previous Starts/Sits -

Starts/Sit - Week 1

Start/Sits - Week 2

Starts/Sits - Week 3

Starts/Sits - Week 4

Starts/Sits - Week 5

Starts/Sits - Week 6

Starts/Sits - Week 7

Starts/Sits - Week 8

Starts/Sits- Week 9

Starts/Sits- Week 10

Starts/Sits - Week 11

To see who you should start , also check out William Frang's Rankings . Or of course send us a tweet on TimersSports with your starts/sits questions

Twitter - Matt Aleza